Statistical analysis has revealed that the opposition National Democratic Congress has a slight edge over the ruling New Patriotic Party in the upcoming December elections.
Data by the Governance Research Bureau shows that the NDC must put in a little effort to win the upcoming December polls but the NPP will have to do much more than the NDC to retain power.
Speaking on the Morning Starr on Thursday, Dr. Kwame Asah-Asante of the Political Science Department of the University of Ghana said the data reveals that “if both parties would all work towards the average module in 2020, it’s likely to go into a run-off but the NDC has a close edge.”
Dr Asah-Asante added that research has shown that if any party wants to win elections, that political party must have appealing conversations around the economy.
Dr. Ezekiel Nii Nortey Senior Lecturer, Department of Statistics and Actuarial Science at the University of Ghana added that “the thing is, people have lost their jobs during this pandemic so if you don’t initiate policies that can cushion them, it goes against you but if you are able to provide policies to cushion them, they see you as a listening government.”
Dr Nortey added that there are three components to enable any of the political parties to win an election in Ghana.
He said “You must do well in your stronghold, your opponent’s stronghold and in the swing regions,” adding that “even the way this government deals with the pandemic could change the dynamics during elections.”