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Reading: Dec. polls: NPP winning by 10 percentage points – Hamid
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HeadlinesPolitics

Dec. polls: NPP winning by 10 percentage points – Hamid

Starrfm.com.gh By Starrfm.com.gh Published November 30, 2020
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The governing New Patriotic Party says it will win the 2020 polls by at least 10 percentage points.

According to the party, its internal polls tallies with the projection by the political science department of the University of Ghana.

The political science department says the NPP and President Akufo-Addo will win the polls with 53.6% of the votes while the NDC’s John Mahama will garner 44.7%.

Addressing the media in Accra Monday, Deputy National Campaign Manager of the NPP Dr Mustapha Hamid said the party has confidence in the work they have done.

“Apart from those polls, every serious political party does its own research periodically and all the research we have done thus far shows us that we are winning the election by at least 10 percentage points. We are confident on the back of all the good things that we have done for this country in four years.

“The volume of work, the people who have been lifted out of the desperation and destitution and all the young people who have been given a ray of hope for our future based on the youth programmes Akufo-Addo has rolled out,” he said.

Meanwhile, a new survey has projected that next week’s presidential and Parliamentary polls will go into a second round.

According to the research by Governance Research Bureau, non of the two leading parties can secure enough votes to win at ago.

“Based on its analysis of EC certified results since 1992 and the 2020 voters register, the Bureau estimates that the NPP’s Nana Akufo Addo will poll 49.19 per cent (8,389,273 votes) with NDC’s John Mahama taking 48.27 per cent (8,233,881 votes) while the Others make do with 2.54 per cent (433,257 votes).

“Statistical tool used for the prediction was the Generalised Linear Model (GLM) whose dependent variable is the percentage of votes likely to be obtained by the parties with the independent variables being the Constituency and Parties.  The standard errors that emerged were 0.76 per cent of the percentage of votes that NPP obtained, 0.75 per cent for NDC and 0.32 per cent for the Other parties.  A 95 per cent confidence interval estimate for the percentage of votes for the NPP has a lower limit of 47.69 per cent (8,134,646 votes) and upper limit of 50.68 per cent (8,646,900 votes),” the survey said.

 

Source: Ghana/ Starrfm.com.gh/

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